Jeff For Banks

AUGUST 24, 2022

Financial Markets & Economic Update -Third Quarter 2022 Inflation The Federal Reserve waited too long before beginning its fight against inflation. Even more egregiously, the Fed continued to purchase $100 billion of Treasury and Agency bonds in the market each month through March, 2022! in June, 2022, compared to +12.4%

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Jeff For Banks

MAY 31, 2022

Stock markets hit new highs in January and quickly began a long and painful sell-off that has continued into May. High mortgage rates will begin to affect the housing markets. I’m sure you’ll enjoy his insights on the markets and the economy as much as I have. I’m very happy to introduce our guest writer for this quarter.

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Jeff For Banks

APRIL 27, 2019

Never Satisfied The markets never seem to be satisfied. The Federal Reserve recently took heed of market and economic messages, ending its tightening campaign and beginning its “patience” campaign. The markets hardly seemed satisfied with these two moves as they began building in rate cuts. A Win for the Ages !

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Jeff For Banks

AUGUST 12, 2018

After easing and keeping rates low for three years, the Fed began tightening from June, 2004 to June, 2006. There are some signs of slowing in the housing markets; both existing and new home sales in June fell amidst rising mortgage rates and fewer gains in home prices. Consider the trade wars and tariffs.

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Jeff For Banks

MAY 4, 2020

As the stock market faltered in March, we saw the Federal Reserve step up with emergency rate cuts and Quantitative Easing to buy bonds. As stocks worsened and bond markets traded in a volatile and chaotic manner, the Fed once again stepped in with a surprise rate cut (on a weekend!) The actions taken by the Fed stabilized markets.

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Jeff For Banks

FEBRUARY 1, 2019

After a lengthy stretch of strong economic growth and stock market gains, the inevitable correction arrived with force in the fourth quarter, culminating with a December that can only be described as “tres terrible!” Dorothy has been with Penn Community Bank and its predecessor since November, 2004. 50% between 2 and 10 years.

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Jeff For Banks

NOVEMBER 1, 2017

Quarterly Financial Markets & Economic Update- October, 2017 I love this time of year. The markets have not given way to anything, with long term bonds still trading in a tight range and short term rates having risen from Fed action. Dorothy has been with Penn Community Bank and its predecessor since November, 2004.

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Jeff For Banks

AUGUST 1, 2019

Financial Markets & Economic Update- Third Quarter, 2019 Summer is upon us and I cannot wait to get to the beach for vacation. Although business confidence fell from the uncertainty, stock markets were reaching new record highs on many of indices. Dorothy has been with Penn Community Bank and its predecessor since November, 2004.

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Jeff For Banks

JULY 8, 2017

The markets continue to roll and bond markets continue to trade in a 25 basis point range, hitting the higher end when they think the economy is strong (why else would the Fed raise rates?) Presidential Agenda I am very surprised that the markets are not having fits over the lack of progress on the presidential agenda.

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Jeff For Banks

OCTOBER 25, 2018

Trade wars and tariffs dominated the market discussion in the third quarter with talk quieting down for now. DJ 10/17/18 Dorothy Jaworski has worked at large and small banks for over 30 years; much of that time has been spent in investment portfolio management, risk management, and financial analysis.

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PYMNTS

SEPTEMBER 28, 2017

Two-thirds of survey respondents said the cloud enables them to build relationships with their customers, while professionals cited the ability to receive advice on business strategy — with forecasting and risk management capabilities, for instance — and to engage with new businesses as key benefits of the cloud.

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PYMNTS

MAY 19, 2016

While the second full week of May was mercifully free from brands mercy-killing themselves, there were still plenty of market reverberations from the companies that did in the weeks prior. 1, 2004 and May 13, 2010. It is without a doubt a Lowe point for the brick-and-mortar home improvement market. Bankruptcies.

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Jeff For Banks

JUNE 2, 2023

percent in 2004, a decline of 1.1 By comparison, non-high-tech industries lost 689,000 jobs between 2001 and 2002 but recovered the lost jobs by 2004. Between 1995 and its peak in March 2000, the Nasdaq Composite stock market index rose 800%, only to fall 740% from its peak by October 2002, giving up all its gains during the bubble.

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Jeff For Banks

JULY 15, 2013

Shell Shocked If you are a fixed income investor, you have seen the worst that the markets have to offer in the second quarter of 2013. You are not alone in trying to understand how quickly the markets changed. We have the strong stock market, but of course that is where Ben Bernanke wanted you to put your money.

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Gonzobanker

NOVEMBER 17, 2016

The company’s marketing message is that their merchant POS devices can be as smart as consumer devices. RegTech companies like NICE Actimize and Trulioo provide cloud-based platforms intended to simplify and standardize compliance processes through automated mapping of regulatory risks. market will be very far away.

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Jeff For Banks

MAY 2, 2014

The equity markets are reaching new highs, expecting the economy to emerge from the deep freeze in the first quarter. The bond markets unwound the benefits of QE during 2013, so it quickly became apparent to the Fed to reduce it. Bond markets quickly adjusted to rate hikes sooner than expected. in the second quarter.

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Jeff For Banks

JANUARY 16, 2016

US stocks fell 6% to 7% during the first week of January, following world stock markets in a downward spiral. Its stock markets are said to have led the world markets plunge, with clumsy attempts by their regulators’ circuit breakers to stem declines actually making them worse. First and foremost, China is at it again.

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Jeff For Banks

OCTOBER 27, 2013

Throughout the summer, the great bond market selloff of 2013 continued on. Treasuries, Agencies, mortgage backed securities, corporate, municipals- all were battered because the markets believed that the Federal Reserve was about to cut the amount of, or “taper,” its $85 billion of monthly purchases of long term bonds.

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Jeff For Banks

JANUARY 18, 2014

She will continue your zero rate policy and will “taper” your QE 3 program, because the markets have already dismissed its impact and tightened long term rates despite your wishes. Mortgage rates rose just as much and they may potentially damage the housing market recovery. Stocks are supposed to have more risk. once again.

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Jeff For Banks

APRIL 2, 2011

The World Around Us World events are impacting our markets. It is no surprise then that the confluence of these events chipped away at the stock market rally and set into motion the inevitable correction. Actually, stock markets are up nearly 100% since the Fed was in the midst of their first quantitative easing program in early 2009.

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Jeff For Banks

OCTOBER 24, 2014

Shock went through the bond markets, especially at PIMCO, who found out about Gross’ exit along with the rest of us. She’s Getting Better at Press Conferences, But … The Federal Reserve has let the talk of rising interest rates hang over the markets like a fog. Dorothy has been with First Federal of Bucks County since November, 2004.

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Jeff For Banks

JULY 9, 2012

The markets did not care for the Supreme Court decision, with stocks ending slightly down for the day on the prospect of increased taxes. But the markets loved the Eurozone agreement, especially Angela Merkel’s capitulation, and stocks rose about 2.5% Yeah, I agree. to 3% on the last day of the quarter. to 12.66% for year-to-date 2012.

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Jeff For Banks

JULY 27, 2014

To know if interest rates will rise soon, or sooner than the market expects, my advice would be to watch the Yellen Dashboard on employment and pay attention to whether the measures are improving over pre-crisis ones. The markets expect the first short term rate increase in mid-2015 and this is built into the futures markets.

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Jeff For Banks

NOVEMBER 7, 2016

As far as the markets go, volatility has tamed down and prices respond to economic data releases and Fed speak, but not much else. 10/24/16 Dorothy Jaworski has worked at large and small banks for over 30 years; much of that time has been spent in investment portfolio management, risk management, and financial analysis.

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Jeff For Banks

JANUARY 12, 2012

These events led to the stock market taking a beating of -12% to -14% in the third quarter, but a fourth quarter recovery of +8% to +12% and a Santa Claus rally of close to +1% saved the day. Actually, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was the only major stock market index in the world to increase in 2011. Volatility, anyone?

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Jeff For Banks

APRIL 10, 2015

A New Year of Volatility 2015 ushered in a whole new season of volatility in the bond and stock markets. Oil Steals the Show The biggest story of the past year in the markets has to be the plunging price of oil, down 50% in 2014 to below $50 per barrel. Dorothy has been with First Federal of Bucks County since November, 2004.

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Jeff For Banks

JULY 24, 2015

If selling in stocks and bonds begins in earnest over this crisis, we will have some of the first tests of liquidity in the markets since new regulations kicked in and restricted financial institutions from trading or making markets. Dorothy has been with First Federal of Bucks County since November, 2004.

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Jeff For Banks

AUGUST 12, 2010

What’s Bothering the Markets? There used to be an old adage in the stock market: “sell in May and go away.” Stock markets did quite well this year into April then began to sell off relentlessly in May; in the meantime, bond markets moved higher, especially Treasuries, as investors sought the safety of bonds. Bummers all.

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Jeff For Banks

APRIL 5, 2012

Last Fall, they embarked on “Operation Twist,” to sell shorter dated securities and buy longer dated ones in an effort to push long term rates down, especially to get mortgage rates lower to help the still struggling housing market. From yield curves, we can calculate market expectations of rates in the future. Fed “promises?”

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Jeff For Banks

JULY 21, 2011

Jobs were being created, stock markets were rising. Some of the factors that are causing this economic “soft patch” are temporary (including bad weather, Japan woes, and high oil prices) and some of the factors will linger, most notably stubbornly high unemployment rates and weak housing markets. Gas prices reached $4.00

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Jeff For Banks

OCTOBER 19, 2012

First of all, if they continue to buy securities, they are removing many of the high quality securities from the marketplace, possibly causing a disruption or shortage in the markets. We may be skeptical, but the markets keep telling us: Don’t fight the Fed! Dorothy has been with First Federal of Bucks County since November, 2004.

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Jeff For Banks

JANUARY 19, 2011

Rates Give Us a Wild Ride Bond market behavior in the fourth quarter of 2010 was one for the record books. Was it the belief that the economy will finally grow or was it Bernanke’s comments on 60 Minutes and in the newspaper that he wanted the stock market to rise? No wonder the markets are under pressure. So what happened?

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Jeff For Banks

OCTOBER 11, 2011

Another Volatile Quarter I know I risk sounding too negative, but we cannot seem to shake the crisis mentality that keeps whipsawing bond and stock markets. There has been a lot of talk about rescues from the European Union, but the markets want action. So why were the markets disappointed in the Fed’s forward guidance?

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Jeff For Banks

JANUARY 19, 2013

more “promises,” and a constant flow of new money into the markets. The biggest beneficiary of all this Fed activity has been the stock market—which ended the year at some pretty good “handles,” with the Dow above 13,000, S&P 500 above 1,400, and the Nasdaq above 3,000.

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Jeff For Banks

OCTOBER 21, 2010

What are the Markets Thinking? Bond markets have been the big winners in the third quarter. Rates have fallen to incredible lows; Pimco, a large money manager, has referred to them as “Eisenhower” lows because they were prevalent in the 1950s. As the outlook improves, these companies will seek higher returns through investments.

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Jeff For Banks

JANUARY 12, 2015

The markets provide us with completely unexpected surprises and leave us scrambling to update our projections for rates and economic growth. 01/05/15 Dorothy Jaworski has worked at large and small banks for over 30 years; much of that time has been spent in investment portfolio management, risk management, and financial analysis.

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Jeff For Banks

APRIL 22, 2018

Now, if Mother Nature would cooperate… Volatility The markets have been incredibly volatile in the first quarter of 2018. The spike in volatility was a wake-up call to every investor and market participant that thought “vols” would stay historically low forever. This may be the understatement of the year! Welcome to 2018!

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