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A Tale of Two Models: How the Pandemic Affected Allowance Levels Under CECL and Incurred Loss Models

Abrigo

Following the 2007-2008 financial crisis, the CECL model aimed to provide more timely adjustments of reserve levels than the existing incurred loss method. Shortly after, COVID-19 was declared a national emergency, sparking stay-at-home orders and other mandates. Portfolio Risk & CECL. Portfolio Risk & CECL.

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How to develop a sound MBL strategy

Abrigo

Credit unions have seen an unprecedented uptick in business-related loans in recent years, according to the Credit Union National Association’s (CUNA) U.S. From June 2007 to December 2012, MBL volume increased 66 percent, growing from $26.04 Credit Union Profile. billion to $43.16

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Don't Bank. SoFi

Jeff For Banks

How good is their system compared to FICO, or other FinTechs that feel they are more evolved in credit risk management? Remember during the depression when the National Housing Act of 1934 created the Federal Housing Administration (FHA). So, too, I would suspect is the risk to SoFi and other marketplace lenders.

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The Niche Bank

Jeff For Banks

Interestingly, Kelly started what would end up being EnerBank at Baltimore's First National Bank of Maryland (now M&T Bank ), a former employer of mine in the mid 1990's. First National divested the unit because it didn't fit their definition of "community banking". In fact, they had no non-performing loans in 2007-08.

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Guest Post: Financial Markets and Economic Update - First Quarter 2024

Jeff For Banks

Our lives changed forever from this whole experience of the government’s declaration of a national emergency, leading to forced shutdowns of businesses and schools, mandated mask wearing, forcing 6-foot distances between people, travel restrictions, fear mongering with case and death counts, and forced vaccines/boosters. Oh, brother!

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Guest Post: FInancial Markets and Economic Update by Dorothy Jaworski

Jeff For Banks

In my career, I’ve lived through many years of the Fed raising interest rates and it’s my experience that they usually tighten too much and keep rates high for too long, just like in 2001 and 2006-2007. In 2Q18, Bucks County median prices rose year-over-year by 3.9%, compared to the national Case Shiller index at over 6.0%.

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Guest Post: Financial Markets & Economic Update 4Q23 by Dorothy Jaworski

Jeff For Banks

We all remember the Great Recession, which began in 2007, but the LEI knew it as early as March, 2006. Mortgage rates are now close to 8.00%; affordability is at its lowest point since 1989, according to the National Association of Realtors. The largest monthly decline took place in May, 2009 at -27.2% As always, thanks for reading!