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Secular changes occur over many business cycles, tend to be slow-moving, and are more difficult to manage with business strategy. However, because bank capital has an average expected life of 15 to 20 years, bank managers must gauge and react to secular changes that will impact their business model.
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Paul and Zhou (2018) define refinancing risk as the potential inability of a borrower to secure new financing to replace existing debt coming due. However, in subsequent years, lessons learned from the financial crisis have paved the way for advances in risk management and more cautious lending practices. What is refinancing risk?
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