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By 2028, debt as a percentage of GDP will reach a historical high of 106% and will reach 200% by 2050. An aging population, higher federal debt as a percentage of GDP, and higher interest rates will change the way community banks view risk, manage relationships, use technology, and generate revenue.
However, in subsequent years, lessons learned from the financial crisis have paved the way for advances in riskmanagement and more cautious lending practices. This is in part because the pre-GFC period was characterised by relaxed lending standards, and excessive leverage levels.
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